Must-Know Real Estate Trends for Homebuyers in 2025

Steve LaMothe • January 2, 2025

Real estate showed resilience in 2024—what's next with rates and inventory?

2024 has been a year full of unexpected events. From political turmoil and global economic shifts to crypto fluctuations and escalating international conflicts, it has certainly been a turbulent time. However, despite all the chaos, one sector has remained surprisingly resilient—the real estate market. Let's look back at what happened in real estate in 2024 and what is expected for 2025.


What happened in 2024?


1. Market resilience amid chaos.
  The year was marked by global uncertainty, from geopolitical conflicts to economic fluctuations. Despite these challenges, the real estate market remained steady. Home values increased by approximately 3% to 4%, providing stability for homeowners and investors.


2. Low inventory and low sales. High interest rates played a significant role in shaping the market. These rates made it difficult for buyers to afford homes and discouraged sellers with low-rate mortgages from listing their properties. As a result, inventory remained tight.


3. Sales trends


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  We are likely to see home sales staying below 4 million, similar to 2023.  Meanwhile, Sacramento saw a significant improvement, with sales increasing by 10–15% compared to the previous year.


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  Many buyers who had been waiting on the sidelines due to high rates decided they could no longer delay their purchases, contributing to slightly improved sales figures.


4. Inventory is creeping up.  Inventory levels are beginning to creep up, leading to homes staying on the market longer and more frequent price reductions. Despite these changes, inventory levels in several areas remained below pre-pandemic norms.


"Waiting will hinder your net worth and economic security."


What to expect in 2025


1. Sluggish 2025.
   Looking ahead to 2025, the market is expected to remain relatively sluggish, particularly during the first half of the year. With a new administration implementing pro-growth policies, there are hopes for economic stimulation and increased investment, which could boost consumer confidence.


What this means:  This shift could encourage buyers to make significant financial decisions, such as purchasing a home, once they feel more secure in the economy. However, the outcome of these policies remains uncertain, and the impact on the housing market will depend heavily on how these economic changes unfold.


Interest rates will still be high.  Interest rates are projected to remain stubbornly high, likely hovering around 6 to 7% throughout 2025. While the Federal Reserve is unlikely to aggressively lower rates, any slight dip in interest rates could create a surge in buyer demand. Should this happen, we could see a 10% increase in home sales compared to 2024. Home prices are expected to appreciate at a more typical rate of 2 to 4%, consistent with historical trends.


Economic chaos.  Global economic uncertainty is expected to continue. Despite this, there is hope for a positive employment outlook, with jobless claims likely to remain steady. The U.S. economy may also see an influx of investments, leading to job creation and further economic growth. These developments, however, remain speculative, and the future remains unpredictable.


The great news


The real estate market should remain relatively stable in 2025, with minimal changes in interest rates. Although the global economic situation may present challenges, the housing market is expected to continue its steady course, with home values gradually appreciating over time.


If you've been putting off buying a home, you're limiting your financial growth. Waiting will hinder your net worth and economic security. Compound interest is an incredible tool, but its key is time. By waiting for rates to drop, you're costing yourself a lot of money. The message is clear: if you don’t own a home, buying one will set you on the road to financial security and the middle class. If you need proper guidance, contact me at 916-862-5463 or email me at Steve@HomesByElevate.com. Let's work together for a successful 2025!

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Rates are up, and plenty of people are calling the market doomed. History and the data suggest otherwise. Here’s the breakdown of why rates are rising right now. For the last two or three weeks, 30-year fixed mortgage rates have marched steadily higher, and the headlines have grown louder with them. After a year spent lodged in the high fives to high sixes, rates have now topped 7% for the first time in more than two years, settling into the mid-7s. Predictably, some are declaring the real estate market doomed, insisting that prices must fall because rates are high. Before anyone accepts that narrative, it is worth understanding what is actually driving these numbers, and why the panic is misplaced. History already punctured the doom story. Two and a half years ago, rates climbed well into the eights. I remember putting properties under contract with buyers locking in near 8.6%, and even that was not enough to push prices down substantially. High rates alone, it turns out, do not reliably collapse a market. So the first thing I would urge anyone to do is resist the hype. The real driver is the bond market. Rates are climbing because investors are demanding higher yields on their money. The 10-year Treasury has climbed to around 5%, its highest level in more than two decades, and since 30-year fixed mortgages typically run two to three percent above that benchmark, today’s mortgage rates follow naturally. The deeper force underneath is risk. When an investor buys a Treasury, they are accepting a guaranteed rate of return, and when the world feels uncertain, they demand more to lend their money, whether to the Federal Reserve or the government. That is simply how rates are priced: by risk. " Today’s rate is a snapshot, not a sentence, so don’t treat it as permanent. " Much of that risk is geopolitical, and geopolitical pressure doesn’t last forever. The conflict involving Iran will, at some point, either subside or give way to some form of deal. When it does, oil and diesel prices should begin to ease, and as that risk drains out of the market, Treasury yields should follow them down. It is worth remembering, too, that even at these levels the United States still carries relatively low rates compared to much of the rest of the world. Today’s rate is a snapshot, not a sentence. If you lock in and buy a home at today’s rate, it is highly unlikely that figure will prove to be the lowest rate available over the next five or six years. I would never advise buying a home on the bet that rates fall next year; that is a poor way to make the decision. What I would say is that if you lock a rate now, there is a strong probability you will be able to refinance within the next five years. My own expectation is that rates settle near 8% through the end of this year, and then, as the new year arrives and if some geopolitical stability returns, drift back toward where they began the year, somewhere between 5 and 6%. What this means for you right now. If you have been considering buying, this has genuinely been a strong window. There are good deals to be found, because sellers who need to sell are meeting a market with less competition, and that creates real room to negotiate. If you are a seller, the message is just as clear: prepare your home now and make it the best house on the block, because the best-presented homes are still drawing strong offers even in this environment. If you would like to talk through what today’s rates mean for your specific situation, I would be glad to help. Call me at (916) 862-5463 , email me at Steve@homesbyelevate.com , or visit homesbyelevate.com .
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Waiting for rates to drop sounds logical, until you think through what actually happens when they do. Here's the real trade-off, from someone who just lived it. It's the million-dollar question facing Sacramento homeowners right now: is it a good time to move, or should you wait? I've been hearing it constantly ever since interest rates started climbing, and I understand exactly why. If you're sitting on a 2% or 3% interest rate, it's genuinely hard to justify leaving it behind for a new home, especially when you look at what that move would cost you every month. So let me answer this the most honest way I know how, because I just went through it myself. 1. Start with one question: will you still be here in five years? It's what I ask everyone who's weighing this. Picture a family with two kids in a three-bedroom. You're making it work right now, but you already know that in five years, as the kids get older, you're going to need that fourth bedroom. I don't think it's worthwhile to stay in a home that isn't working for you, or in an area you don't really want to be in, just hoping interest rates might come down someday. And here's a piece people forget: if you buy today at a higher rate, you can always refinance later at a fairly low cost and lock in the savings then. The rate you buy at isn't necessarily the rate you keep. 2. The "just wait" logic has a catch. Imagine rates actually drop a couple of points. What happens next? I'd imagine you'd see a flood of new demand and activity hit the market all at once, and it would become far more competitive to buy. Suddenly you've got a lot more people competing over what's probably a smaller pool of homes. So even though lower rates feel like the obvious better time, that timing could actually make it harder to land the right house. It's a real trade-off, and you have to weigh the pluses and minuses honestly rather than assuming waiting wins. " I don't think it's worthwhile to stay in a home that isn't working for you just hoping interest rates might come down someday. " 3. Here's my own story. My wife and I and our kids had been thinking about moving for a while. We love our house and we love our neighborhood, but we knew this home wasn't going to be the right fit as our kids got older. Over the last two or three years, we found a couple of houses that would have worked, and we talked ourselves out of each one, because rates were higher and it was more expensive. That lingering feeling never went away though, the sense that a certain kind of home would just fit our family better. After two and a half years of going back and forth, we finally decided to rip the band-aid off, because we knew we'd move eventually, our kids were getting older, and we'd rather get them settled into a new school now than later. You reach a point where you simply can't wait anymore. 4. I'll be honest about how it went. I think that's more useful than pretending. Even for me, someone who has done this professionally for 16 years and is an investor at heart, it was a lot. I left my 2.7% interest rate for a 6% rate in today's environment. The process, even though it went smoothly and I used one of our own agents, was all-consuming and genuinely stressful. I took a week off work. For those days, every waking moment was the move. I'm telling you not to scare you off, but so you know I'm not handing you advice I haven't lived. I made this exact decision, eyes open, because I knew we'd have to move eventually, and I believe down the road it may well pay off for us. That's my real-world take on the question so many Sacramento homeowners are asking right now. It's more expensive to live where we are now because of the higher rate, that's just true. But the right home, in the right place, at the right stage of your family's life, is worth thinking about beyond the interest rate alone. If you're wrestling with this same decision and you want to talk it through with someone who has actually been in your shoes, I'm here to help. Call or text me at (916) 862-5463 , email me at Steve@homesbyelevate.com , or visit homesbyelevate.com . Let's figure out what actually makes sense for you
By Steve LaMothe • August 10, 2026
Inventory is climbing, sellers are cutting prices, and buyers are winning negotiations again. Here's why the data says now is the window. It's been a long time since I've been able to say this, but today we're going to talk about why this might be the best time to buy a home in the last three years. Let's break it down. We've talked about it before this year. We're seeing more inventory on the market. Homes are taking a little longer to sell. That trend is continuing, and the data we're starting to see is compounding. Here's what it means. Inventory is climbing We've seen about 30% to 35% more homes on the market this year versus last year. That is great news. That means we're almost back to pre-pandemic levels in terms of how many homes are available for sale. For buyers, more inventory means more choices, more time to make decisions, and less of that frantic pressure that's defined the market since 2020. For the first time in years, you're not walking into every showing wondering if five other buyers already made an offer. Pending sales are dropping At the same time, we've started to see pending sales, the number of homes actually going under contract, decreasing substantially month over month. Especially over the last 60 days, that drop has been significant. When you combine those two things, fewer homes selling as quickly and more homes coming available, the math starts working in the buyer's favor in a way we simply haven't seen in a long time. " We are definitely starting to see deals pop up. Buyers are getting offers accepted well below asking price. This is not something we've consistently seen in the last three years. " Deals are popping up again This is the part that gets me excited. We are definitely starting to see deals pop up. Sellers are reducing their prices to compete against other sellers. Our buyers are getting offers accepted well below the asking price. This is just not something we've consistently seen in the last three years. Most of the time over the past few years, we've had to submit offers against multiple other buyers or come in with really high offers just to get sellers to accept them. That dynamic is shifting. Buyers are getting breathing room, negotiating power, and results that were unthinkable 18 months ago. My bold claim So in my opinion, and I'll go out and make a bold claim, this really has been the best time to buy a home in the last three years, especially post-pandemic. If you've been on the fence, considering it, or been worried about whether you can afford to buy, it might be worth exploring the numbers and just looking at it. We can break it down for you. If you need to save for a year, we can build a purchase plan for how to save money to buy a house in a year. What about sellers? Our sellers may not be excited about this news, but owners and sellers have been in the driver's seat for six years total. They're still getting good prices. Prices are not coming down substantially. But I would not be surprised if this year you see home values go down maybe 1% to 5%. All the trends are pointing to buyers getting some power back in the market, and that is fabulous news for anyone who's been waiting. If you've been considering buying, reach out. Call me at (916) 862-5463 , email me at Steve@homesbyelevate.com , or visit homesbyelevate.com . We'd be happy to put a purchase plan together for you for free, whether you're ready to buy now or you want to build a plan to get there in the next year.
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