2025 Sacramento Real Estate Mid-Year Market Update
Sacramento’s inventory is up 25%, but buyer demand is dropping. Know what’s driving the shift and how it affects home prices for buyers and sellers.
What’s going on with the Sacramento real estate market halfway through 2025? This year has been moving fast, but what’s really interesting is how much the market has shifted in just the past couple of months. After a relatively quiet start, things have started to change in ways that are important for both buyers and sellers.
Over the last 60 days, some significant trends have emerged that could shape the rest of the year. It’s definitely worth taking a closer look at what’s driving these changes and what they mean for the market right now. Let’s dive in.
Looking back: from a slow 2024 to a hopeful start in 2025. Last year, 2024, was one of the slowest on record for home sales in Sacramento, setting a quiet tone for the market. Going into 2025, I expected things to stay fairly similar, with no big changes in interest rates or sudden surges in buyer activity. However, the first few months surprised us a bit— sales picked up by about 10% compared to last year, and buyers seemed noticeably more motivated and confident. This early momentum gave hope that the market might be warming up after a sluggish period.
Inventory is rising as buyer demand slows. Over the past 60 days, the Sacramento real estate market has taken a noticeable turn. Buyer demand has slowed down, with fewer people going under contract and purchasing homes. Meanwhile, the number of homes listed for sale has risen sharply.
"This isn’t a market crash—it’s simply the housing market rebalancing after being inflated by low inventory."
When fewer buyers are buying but new listings keep coming, inventory starts to build up quickly. For example, if 1,000 homes are listed in a month but only 300 go pending, that leaves 700 homes still available the following month. Add another 1,000 new listings on top of that, and you end up with a growing backlog of homes sitting on the market. This increase in inventory alongside slowing sales is exactly what we’re seeing right now.
Shifting dynamics are putting pressure on home prices. With more homes hitting the market and fewer buyers actively looking, smart pricing has become more important than ever. A well-priced home might get three to five showings each week, but if it's even slightly overpriced, showings can drop to one every couple of weeks—or none at all. That’s a big change from previous years, when buyers were more aggressive despite high interest rates because there weren’t many options available.
Back then, homes went under contract quickly, often within two weeks. Now, inventory is up roughly 20% to 25% compared to this time last year, while pending sales are down 10% to 15% over the past two months. If this continues, inventory will keep rising, and home prices will face more downward pressure.
At this point, I expect prices to remain mostly flat or dip slightly for about 1% to 3% in some neighborhoods. That said, this isn’t a market crash—it’s simply the market rebalancing after being inflated by low inventory.
If you’re thinking about selling, it’s really important to price and present your home right to attract buyers. For buyers who have been hesitant over the past few years, now is a great time to jump in. We’re seeing homes sell under their asking price, and despite higher interest rates, there are still some great deals available. If you want to learn more, give us a call at 916-436-SELL, or check out homesbyelevate.com. We’re happy to keep you updated about the market.
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